It's important to understand that China does not want to fight a war over Taiwan, so if the Trump administration adheres closely to the One China Policy and resists forms of military provocation (e.g. sending troops to Taiwan or undertaking joint exercises with Taiwan), then it is likely that Beijing will continue to live with the status quo.

Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te is considering trying to make a call to Donald Trump after his US election victory, according to people familiar with the matter, in a move that would likely be seen by Beijing as a sign of Taiwan seeking to assert independence.