Despite the recent reprieve, “it is too early to dismiss the seasonal hurricane outlook as a bust,” said Dan Harnos, a meteorologist at NOAA.

Despite September being the traditional peak of hurricane season, experts at Colorado State University say the next two weeks are likely to be less active than normal.

Update: We’re one week away from the (average) peak of the hurricane season and there is only one significant tropical storm anywhere in the world as I write this. The graphic above shows the average number of hurricanes and tropical storms from May through December.